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19 Sep 2018 by Tim Blackwell

FPL Gameweek 6 – Projections

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Brexit, Scottish Independence, Messi/Ronaldo, Cain or Abel, history is littered with choices that divided a nation. Now FPL managers are at a similar crossroads:

Are you Mo Salah?

or No Salah?

Last season's top points scorer averaged 9.39 points per 90 minutes for the 2017-18 season. That number has fallen this season by over three points to 6.13 points per 90 minutes, not to mention the fact he has blanked in two GW’s this season already. In the whole of last year, Salah only scored two or less points in a single GW six times.

More worryingly, Salah just isn’t passing the eye test. He looks half a yard slower, as if burdened with the success of last season, or still traumatised by the shadow of Ramos. Still though, it is Mo Salah. The Egyptian King. Also:

Let’s see if he makes the projected eleven for GW6.

Optimum Squad

GW5’s projected optimum team clocked up 55 points in what was an above average performance. Our captain choice was Raheem Sterling (£11.0m) for the second week running and he delivered with a goal and a clean sheet. His point scoring exploits were supported by Sergio Aguero (£11.4m), Romelu Lukaku (£11.2m), Wayne Hennessey (£4.5m) and Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£4.1m) who all contributed to the points total. Sadly, the team was let down by Chelsea who conceded to Cardiff, costing the side three clean sheets.

Still, onwards and upwards to GW6’s projected optimum eleven:

The stats predict a 4-3-3 line-up is the way to GW6 domination. A trio of Leicester City players - Kasper Schmeichel (£5.0m), Harry Maguire (£5.5m) and Ben Chilwell (£5.0m) - make the backline as goal-shy Huddersfield visit the King Power stadium. With doubts surrounding FPL darling Benjamin Mendy (£6.5m), Kyle Walker (£6.5m) seems assured of a start and faces a Cardiff side who have failed to score in two of their three home league matches this season. Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.0m) rounds the back four out as Southampton travel to Anfield.

In midfield, Raheem Sterling (£11.0m) captains the squad for the third week running. Owned by just 2.9% of FPL managers at the time of writing, the diminutive Englishman offers real differential value. Keeping the faith and ignoring the noise of the #NoSalah movement, Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) makes the team. Aaron Ramsey (£7.4m) is called up to the projected squad for the first time this season as Arsenal welcome Everton to the Emirates.

At the business end, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m) leads the frontline. Since partnered with Alexandre Lacazette (£9.4m), the Senegalese forward has scored and assisted in Arsenal’s last two wins. Alongside Aubameyang are Wilfred Zaha (£7.0m), who’s scored three in four this season and Everton’s Cenk Tosun (£6.9m), who will look to break his duck against an Arsenal side yet to keep a clean sheet this season.

The Rest – Goalkeepers / Defenders

Our last line of defence starts with David de Gea (£5.9m), Ederson (£5.6m) and Alisson (£5.5m) with Manchester United, Manchester City and Liverpool all expected to keep clean sheets. Nathan Etheridge (£4.6m) and Jordan Pickford (£5.0m) take the remaining spots based on their save potential.

The defensive five are all projected to collect a clean sheet, along with having a chance for some attacking returns. The five consist of Antonio Valencia (£6.5m), Joe Gomez (£5.1m), Andrew Robertson (£5.2m), Aymeric Laporte (£5.5m) and John Stones (£5.5m).

The Rest – Midfielders / Forwards

Fresh off his 20-point haul in GW5, fantasy managers will flock to Eden Hazard (£10.8m). Sadio Mané (10.0m) will look to continue his good form against his old club in Southampton. Leroy Sané (9.2m) got a goal last weekend and looks to be finally back in Pep’s thoughts. Alexis Sanchez (£10.2m) and Mesut Özil (£8.3m) take the remaining two spots as Manchester United face Wolves and Arsenal host Everton.

Up front, Sergio Aguero (£11.4m) is unsurprisingly projected to score well and will aim to fill his boots against Cardiff. Harry Kane (£12.4m) will be looking to end his goal drought when Tottenham travel to Brighton. Jamie Vardy (8.9m) has a great match-up at home to Huddersfield. Roberto Firmino (£9.4m), after scoring midweek, faces Southampton and Romelu Lukaku (£11.0m) will attempt to increase his scoring streak to three Premier League games vs Wolves.

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