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01 Nov 2018 by Tim Blackwell

FPL Gameweek 11 – Projections

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It was a mixed bag in GW10 for the FPL community. Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) completed his return to fantasy relevance with a 15-point display against Cardiff, while his teammate Sadio Mane (£9.8m) rewarded players who had kept the faith by returning the same total. Bournemouth duo Callum Wilson (£6.6m) and Ryan Fraser (£6.1m) kept the points rolling in, while Manchester City defenders recorded their sixth clean sheet in a row.

The right team in GW10 would have resulted in a points bonanza but most teams were kept in check. Key FPL assets such as Eden Hazard (£11.3m) and Andrew Robertson (£6.4m) failed to start while Sergio Aguero (£11.3m) continued his worrying trend of not picking up points away from the Etihad.

Let’s explore what joys GW11 is projected to contain.

OPTIMUM SQUAD

The projected squad for GW10 scored a fantastic 84 points; a total made even more impressive given only nine of the starting XI got a run out.

Of the nine who did play, Salah led the way with 15 points, closely followed by captain Callum Wilson who rewarded our faith with two goals and three bonus points in a 13-point haul. Further points were delivered by Roberto Pereyra (£6.4m), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), Richarlison (£6.8m), DeAndre Yedlin (£4.5m) and Martin Dubravka (£5.0m).

Indeed, of the starters, only Alexandre Lacazette (£9.8m) and James Maddison (£7.0m) failed to contribute, though it’s a wonder how…

Given the success of GW10, let’s see if the squad for GW11 can back it up.

Once again the team lines up in a 4-3-3 formation.

The last line of defence is Everton goalkeeper Jordan Pickford (£4.9m). With two penalty saves in as many matches, Pickford has scored 26 points in the last two gameweeks, so owners of the Englishman will be hoping a third is given this weekend.

At the back is the ever-entertaining Benjamin Mendy (£6.4m). The City full-back faces a Southampton side that hasn’t scored in their last five Premier League matches. Furthermore, the Frenchman is yet to score less than four points when he’s played this season.

Alongside Mendy is Leicester City talisman Harry Maguire (£5.5m). The final two defensive spots go to Everton’s Michael Keane (£4.9m) and Lucas Digne (£4.8m). Everton host Brighton and managers have good reason to expect a clean sheet given the Toffees have not conceded in their last two home matches.

The midfield trio is identical to that which started GW9’s projected best squad. That week didn't go so well; Fraser top scored with three points as captain Eden Hazard (£11.3m) was booked on his way to one point, while Raheem Sterling (£11.1m) didn’t even make it onto the pitch. The diminutive Englishman captains the projected best squad this time as the players will hopefully reach their normal productive heights.

Up front, Aguero will aim to get back to scoring ways in front of the home fans. Nearly 80% of the Argentinians points have come at home and this week’s match against Southampton has blow up potential for the striker.

The final two places are reserved for Leicester’s Jamie Vardy (£9.0m) and West Ham’s Marko Arnautovic (£7.0m) who play Cardiff and Burnley respectively.

THE REST – GOALKEEPERS / DEFENDERS

Top billing for projected goalkeepers in GW11 goes to Manchester City’s Ederson (£5.8m) who has now gone an incredible 600 minutes since last conceding in the Premier League. Goalkeepers who are likely to face a number of shots this weekend take the remaining four spots. Alex McCarthy (£4.5m), Neil Etheridge (£4.6m), Wayne Hennessey (£4.6m) and Joe Hart (£4.6m) either face team that shoot a lot or play for a team that concede a lot of shots each match.

The five defenders this week have a distinctly blue colour to them. With just three goals conceded in their opening ten matches, Manchester City trio Kyle Walker (£6.6m), John Stones (£5.3m) and Aymeric Laporte (£5.8m) are all expected to keep a clean sheet against the shot-shy Saints. Walker is projected slightly more due to his greater attacking potential. Everton duo Kurt Zouma (£5.0m) and Seamus Coleman (£5.2m) complete the top five.

THE REST MIDFIELDERS / FORWARDS

The creative heartbeats of David Silva (£8.6m) and Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.4m) top our midfielders list. The pair also top the list for most chances created in the Premier League so far this season.

Favourable fixtures for Manchester City, Leicester City and Watford could result in managers of Fernandinho (£5.4m), Demarai Gray (£5.4m) and Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.9m) see a points return.

Up top is the number one forward in FPL – Callum Wilson. The Cherries frontman has been in fine form over the opening ten weeks of the season, collecting five goals and seven assists on his way to 63 points. A revenge match against Manchester United awaits this weekend but given his upcoming run of fixtures, owners will need to be wary of a potential points drop.

Kelechi Iheanacho (£5.9m) has a good-looking fixture against Cardiff and the Nigerian appears - at least temporarily anyway - to have replaced Vardy as the Foxes' main forward. Wilfred Zaha (£6.9m) and Crystal Palace travel to a Chelsea side that has conceded in four of their five home matches this season. Finally, the traditional big hitters of Harry Kane (£12.4m) and Romelu Lukaku (£10.8m) will look to get their goal scoring back underway when they face Wolves and Bournemouth respectively.

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