Replacements for the suspended Heung-min Son are the hot topic in the FPL community for Gameweek 38. We assess several options, while probably the best advice for managers this week is to wait as long as possible before making your final moves.
If you were ever going to not make transfers early make it this week.— Andy (@LetsTalk_FPL) May 7, 2019
Sunday 12th May
Brighton vs Man City (15:00)
Burnley vs Arsenal (15:00)
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth (15:00)
Fulham vs Newcastle (15:00)
Leicester vs Chelsea (15:00)
Liverpool vs Wolves (15:00)
Man Utd vs Cardiff (15:00)
Southampton vs Huddersfield (15:00)
Spurs vs Everton (15:00)
Watford vs West Ham (15:00)
Bar an unlikely reversal, Heung-min Son (£8.7m) will be suspended for GW38 and the first two gameweeks of the 2019-20 season. For those with a free Manchester City spot, Bernardo Silva (£7.8m) had more attempts on goal (5) than any of his team-mates in GW37. If you’re lucky enough to have a lot of cash to spare, Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) remains an excellent option despite only returning an assist in the past four gameweeks.
City’s GW38 opponents Brighton have conceded ten goals in their past six fixtures, with Bournemouth scoring five of those at the Amex stadium in DGW34. Over that period, Chris Hughton’s men have allowed their opponents 105 shots – an average of 17.5 goal attempts conceded per game. The Seagulls did block 35 of those efforts, while 60 were taken from inside the box. Brighton gave up ten big chances in that run of matches. Hughton’s team have also conceded more penalties (10) than any other club this season.
The point on Sterling also applies to Liverpool midfielders Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) and Sadio Mane (£10.2m), for Son owners with money in the bank and a spot for a Reds asset. Salah was unable to feature for Jurgen Klopp’s side as they claimed a historic 4-0 win over Barcelona on Tuesday, though he is expected to be fit for Sunday. Before that victory, which saw the Anfield side reach the Champions League final for the second year running, Klopp said on Salah and Roberto Firmino (£9.3m): “Both are not available for [the Barcelona game]. It’s a concussion [for Salah], so that means he would not even be allowed to play. That’s it, that’s all. He feels OK, but it is not good enough from a medical point of view, that’s all. He is desperate and everything, but we cannot do it. That’s it. Will he be okay for the weekend? Yes.”
Mo Salah has now returned for 6 games in a row scoring 51 points.— Simon (@analytic_fpl) May 8, 2019
I think I have my GW38 captain pic.twitter.com/udd6J8NpKZ
If Jordan Henderson (£5.3m) is ruled fit for Liverpool’s clash against Wolves, the England man would be a decent differential option for those downgrading Son. Henderson has three assists and a goal since GW33, when he began playing in a more advanced central midfield role. The budget midfielder took a knock to his knee on Tuesday but completed the tie. The fitness of Andrew Robertson (£6.8m) is a more pressing concern for FPL managers, with the left-back substituted at half-time due to a calf injury. Klopp should be able to provide a fresh update on the defender’s fitness on Friday. If the Scotsman is ruled out, Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) - who could earn some armbands in GW38 - or Robertson's team-mates Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.7m) and Virgil van Dijk (£6.7m) are ready-made replacements.
🏥 Here's what Andrew Robertson said about his calf injury.— Fantasy Football Scout (@FFScout) May 8, 2019
📝 Also in our Scout Notes:
🅰️ Two more assists for TAA
🇸🇳 Mane superb despite no shots
⬆️ Another return for Henderson in his more advanced rolehttps://t.co/VqiSPRvYnQ#FFScout #FPL #GW38 #LiverpoolFC #LIVBAR
Wolves have let in six goals in their last six league outings, with Southampton accounting for three of those. Nuno Espirito Santo’s men conceded 62 shots over those fixtures, with half of those (31) allowed inside the penalty area. His team also gave up 13 big chances over that period, with the Saints racking up six of those in a 3-1 home win against Wolves in GW34.
If you’re maxed out on the two title-chasing teams and have to downgrade Son, there are plenty of options from £8.7m all the way down to the budget bracket. Paul Pogba (£8.5m) would have been the standout replacement before Gameweek 37, though Manchester United’s torrid performance in a 1-1 draw at Huddersfield was very uninspiring. The Frenchman did hit the crossbar twice in that clash but Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men generally looked devoid of ideas going forward. The Red Devils welcome relegated Cardiff to Old Trafford on Sunday, with penalty-taker Pogba currently the most transferred in player this week.
Pogba hits crossbar for the second time in this match...— StrettyNews.com (@StrettyNews) May 5, 2019
Ryan Fraser (£6.3m) is another top transfer target ahead of Bournemouth’s trip to face Crystal Palace. The Eagles are 19th in the ‘home table’ this season, while sitting 5th in the away standings. However, Roy Hodgson’s men have actually been more solid in defence at Selhurst Park, conceding 20 times on home soil while conceding 30 goals on the road.
Fraser has scored once and notched four assists in the last four gameweeks, having been on a run of three blanks prior to GW34. It was his corner that Nathan Ake (£5.1m) converted to give Bournemouth a 1-0 win at home to nine-man Spurs last weekend. Eddie Howe admitted post-match that the Cherries struggled despite playing against nine men for the second half. He said: “I've only managed one game against nine men before in my management career, against Brighton when I was at Burnley. That was tough and today was too. It totally changed the game. We naturally weren't having a lot of the ball against such a good Tottenham team in the first half. They were creating chances and we were looking dangerous on the counter-attack. Suddenly, we were dominating the ball and Tottenham were playing on the counter-attack. I don't think we did particularly well with the advantage we had. We didn't use the ball intelligently enough. It was difficult and looked like we were running out of time to win the game, but thankfully we popped up with a great goal.”
Anyone else considering Ryan Fraser as their Son replacement?— Always Cheating Fantasy Premier League (#FPL) (@hailcheaters) May 9, 2019
Good form, playing a banged up Palace team with nothing to play for, and locked in a battle with Eden Hazard for most 2018/19 assists. #FPL #GW38 pic.twitter.com/KmtjCM4mM0
Fraser and Callum Wilson (£6.3m) will be hoping for better counter-attacking opportunities against a Palace backline made up of second-choice centre-halves Scott Dann (£4.4m) and Martin Kelly (£3.9m). The latter put the ball in his own net during the Eagles’ 3-2 win away to Cardiff in GW37. Fraser will likely be facing off against Palace right-back Aaron-Wan Bissaka (£4.6m), who has made the most tackles per game (3.8) of any defender this season.
This season, Aaron Wan-Bissaka has won 124 tackles and been dribbled past just 10 times.— HLTCO (@HLTCO) April 29, 2019
The next highest right-back is Ricardo Pereira with 111 tackles, having been dribbled past 54 times.
AWB is a freak of nature. 💪 pic.twitter.com/yszZKFHfAO
For those wanting to stick with Spurs, Lucas Moura (£6.8m) showcased his explosive potential on Wednesday night with an unbelievable hat-trick which sent his team to the Champions League final. But with fourth place essentially secure, Mauricio Pochettino could be tempted into wrapping some stars in cotton wool despite the Madrid showdown with Liverpool not taking place until June 1.
So, Spurs to rotate against Everton? All they can do is finish 3rd instead of 4th which makes no difference CL-wise. CL final isn’t until the first of June but why risk?— STAT (@StatOnScout) May 8, 2019
Potential Moura investors would be wise to wait for Pochettino’s presser on Friday before taking the plunge. Jan Vertonghen (£5.9m) is one Spurs player that is highly unlikely to feature this weekend after picking up an ankle problem in the 3-2 victory at Ajax.
#thfc Understand Vertonghen picked up ankle injury in first half last night, being described as minor and crutches a precaution.— Dan Kilpatrick (@Dan_KP) May 9, 2019
Spurs welcome an Everton outfit that have been mean in defence recently, keeping clean sheets in eight of their last ten games. Richarlison (£6.4m) is only behind Salah and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) for shots in the box (11) over the last four gameweeks, though is an injury doubt at present. Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.4m) was unlucky to see the Brazilian’s strike against Burnley put down as an own goal, cancelling out the Iceland man’s assist. A former Spurs player, Siggy has six double-figure hauls this season and could benefit from facing a tired Tottenham team.
Current #FPL transfer ponderings ahead of #GW38 involve a -4 to replace Son and Firmino.— Dom Warren (@DomWarren) May 9, 2019
🥃 Take a hit for the road as I wish 2018/19 farewell.
💡 Ideas at the moment:
1. Salah and Greenwood
2. Sigurdsson or Hazard
w/ Zaha or Arnie.
Only 16% of top 10k own Mane + Mo 🤔
Having been rotated to the bench in GW37, Nathan Redmond (£5.4m) came on at half-time away to West Ham. The midfielder managed four shots inside the box on his introduction, with three of those blocked and one saved. After the 3-0 defeat to the Hammers, Ralph Hasenhuttl said: “The last few weeks were very intense for us as a team. We have more game at home now where we want to play differently from how we did against West Ham. We want to show our fans that we can finish with a good win for them. The target is to end in the best way possible, getting the energy back and mentally being ready to finish the season with a good win. It would be a good ending to this season if we can do that against Huddersfield.”
On Redmond’s introduction, the Saints boss added: “In the second half we tried everything, and in the first 20 minutes of that we made a lot of chances. The change to bring Redmond in gave us new power up front. If we had scored there, we could have turned the table but in the end, there was not enough power in our game and against the ball to take something from West Ham. The energy the guys put on the pitch was okay, we worked hard while we were 1-0 down but after two, it was a long way to go and the guys knew they did not have the energy left to turn the table again from that position.”
My two differentials for the final gameweek 📝— FPL Prince (@TheFPLPrince) May 6, 2019
🔴 Nathon Redmond - Faces Huddersfield at home and has been in great form in recent weeks.
🔵 Gylfi Sigurdsson - Mr Consistent faces a Spurs side hampered by injuries, red cards and a Champions league 2nd leg vs Ajax. #FPL
Considering Hasenhuttl’s comments, Redmond’s GW37 impact and his status as a virtual ever-present under the new boss, a Gameweek 38 start appears likely. The manager’s press conference on Friday may give further line-up clues for the visit of Huddersfield. The Terriers’ 1-1 draw at home to Man Utd last weekend was just the second time they have conceded less than two goals in a game since GW29. Jan Siewert’s men have conceded 24 goals in eight matches from Gameweek 30. Over the past five gameweeks, Huddersfield have allowed 95 shots (60 inside the box), giving up 18 big chances in the process.
Southampton’s Players’ and Fans’ Player of the Season Redmond has two goals and two assists in his last six starts, generally operating in a central attacking role – though he would be forced wider if both Danny Ings (£5.4m) and Shane Long (£5.7m) start on Sunday. The 5.4%-owned midfielder’s willingness and ability to get shots off in the box may prove profitable against a leaky Huddersfield outfit.
Son out for Redmond probably cause contrary to what Man Utd had you believe, Huddersfield are still shit. #FPL— Varun Bansal (@Varun_esque) May 6, 2019
Ryan Babel (£5.6m) has five attacking returns in the last seven gameweeks ahead of Newcastle’s visit to Craven Cottage and is another option among myriad midfield choices, while Eden Hazard (£11.0m) joins Salah, Sterling and Mane in the luxury ‘Son-plus-cash’ bracket. The attacker’s away returns have been poor, however, while Chelsea face a Europa League semi-final second leg against Eintracht Frankfurt tonight before travelling to play Leicester on Sunday.
Popular captain choices - ave score vs bottom 14 (home or away depending on fixture)— Adam Hopcroft (@ahopcroft13) May 9, 2019
Salah (h) 8.8
Mane (h) 8.5
Wilson (a) 8.2
Robertson (h) 7.9
Pogba (h) 7.8
TAA (h) 7.4
Hazard (a) 6.3
VVD (h) 6.2
Fraser (a) 6.1
Sterling (a) 5.6
Laporte (a) 5.3
Bernardo (a) 5
Aguero (a) 4.8
With numerous transfer options available, decisions this week will come down to the structure of each individual squad, availability of FTs, willingness to take points hits and whether managers are more focused on overall rank or winning mini-leagues. Probably the best advice ahead of Gameweek 38 is to wait as long as possible before confirming transfers – TSZ will be covering all of Friday’s pressers, while further team news could break before Sunday’s 2pm deadline.
The hardest thing to do in FPL for some is?— FF247 (@FantasyFooty247) August 19, 2014
I submit ** Hold your Transfer **