We assess the best transfer options in BGW33 for those ‘dead-ending’ their squads and using free hits, while also casting an eye over potential wildcard targets for FPL bosses set to wield that chip before Friday’s 7:00pm deadline.
Friday 5th April
Southampton vs Liverpool (20:00)
Saturday 6th April
Bournemouth vs Burnley (15:00)
Huddersfield vs Leicester (15:00)
Newcastle vs Crystal Palace (15:00)
Sunday 7th April
Everton vs Arsenal (14:05)
Monday 8th April
Chelsea vs West Ham (20:00)
Most squads already have two, if not three, Liverpool players ahead of their trip to St. Mary’s tomorrow. Sadio Mane (£10.0m) is the obvious target for FPL bosses with space for a Reds asset in their squad. Since Gameweek 23, the Senegal star has only blanked on three occasions – scoring nine times and providing one assist over that period. The cheaper Roberto Firmino (£9.2m) has banked 26 points in Liverpool’s last three games.
Some stats for players in 33 - (excluded those not playing) #fpl— Lonesome Pundit (@lonesomepundit) April 4, 2019
xG last four games
With three wins in their past four league outings, Southampton are in good form. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side conceded four goals in that period, three of those away to Manchester United in a GW29 defeat. Over that game and wins against Fulham (H), Spurs (H) and Brighton (a), the Saints conceded an average of 15 goal attempts and seven shots inside the box per game. Hasenhuttl’s men also shipped two goals against both Cardiff (H) and Arsenal (a) in Gameweeks 26 and 27.
Following a 2-0 defeat away to Arsenal in GW27, Southampton have scored seven times over four fixtures. Liverpool full-backs Andy Robertson (£6.8m) and Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.5m) remain top targets this week considering their potential for attacking returns, while the Reds’ clean sheet prospects are boosted by the availability of former Saint Virgil van Dijk (£6.6m). On the Dutch defender, Jurgen Klopp said on Wednesday: “No major concerns, actually, so we have to see until the matchday obviously but after the [Spurs] game you’re probably thinking about Virg. He trained normal, everything OK. Yesterday [Tuesday] we only had a second recovery session but he was involved in that and I heard nothing different that he could maybe not train today. No, it looks all OK.”
Jurgen Klopp’s title chasers welcome Chelsea in GW34 before a single game away to Cardiff in Double Gameweek 35. That fixture is likely to see wildcarders and free-hitters plump for a minimum of one Liverpool asset despite eight clubs playing twice in the same gameweek. The Merseyside outfit then face Huddersfield (H), Newcastle (a) and Wolves (H) to Gameweek 38.
Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy (£9.0m) has scored five goals in five games since Claude Puel was sacked ahead of Gameweek 28, while also providing one assist. Vardy headed in the Foxes’ second at home to Bournemouth last Saturday from a Youri Tielemans (£6.1m) cross. The forward missed his other big chance at the King Power, firing wide inside the box with just Asmir Begovic (£4.3m) to beat. The goalkeeper saved another Vardy effort from inside the area, while the Englishman also saw a shot blocked outside the box.
Tielemans has four assists since GW28, with James Maddison (£6.8m) sitting on two. The Belgian made three key passes in GW31, while his midfield partner supplied five. Under Rodgers, the pair are attempting to release Vardy at every opportunity once Leicester win the ball back. On his pressing style, the Foxes chief told BBC Sport: “We showed a real appetite, hunger and tactically we were very good. Our pressing was excellent, the boys are understanding tactically how we want to press and the importance of that. Each game, each day in training, we are getting more used to it.”
Now into ninth place in the table, Rodgers’ ambition to possibly bag a Europa League qualifying spot should mean that Leicester are not ‘on the beach’ too early this season. Asked how much the Foxes are considering that seventh-place finish, the manager responded: “With real thought. I said from my first time here that was what I wanted to achieve, and hopefully that can be the case throughout my time here. I'd take it at any time. We're here to win games. We're also here to build a team and so we're certainly not going to go into games without trying. I've said to the players, 'There are seven cup finals’ and it was a good performance, exceptional. They will get better, day by day in training, and game by game, you can see how they're looking to work and the confidence they're gaining from it.”
Owned by 6.6% of managers, Maddison has two goals and one assist in the past six gameweeks. A share of set-pieces promotes him over team-mate Tielemans, who as mentioned has two more assists than Maddison in the same period. The Englishman scored a free-kick away to Burnley in GW29, while he has created more than double the amount of chances set up by Tielemans since Gameweek 27. With a trip to relegated Huddersfield on Saturday, Leicester assets are in demand for BGW33 at least. Rodgers’ men then take on Newcastle (H), West Ham (a), Arsenal (H), Man City (a) and Chelsea (H).
Tielemans (1.3%) currently has the highest points per game ratio (4.9 PPM) for Leicester, although he has only been in FPL since Gameweek 25.— FPL Crypto ⚽️ (@FPLCrypto) April 3, 2019
He has a goal or an assist in each of the last 5 PL matches.
At 6.1m is he too expensive/unsustainable or worth a punt? 🤞#fpl #GW33
With fixtures against Burnley (H), Brighton (a) and Fulham (H) in the next three gameweeks, Bournemouth assets are under consideration despite playing once in DGW35. The Cherries round out their campaign by playing Southampton (a), Spurs (H) and Crystal Palace (a). Bournemouth’s motivation is hard to gauge but Eddie Howe’s comments after the 2-0 loss to Leicester suggest his side will not be donning the flip-flops just yet. The manager said: “Our away record is a concern and we are trying to find ways to improve what we do. I want a game tomorrow after that performance. People travel a long way to come and see us play and we didn't perform.”
Callum Wilson (£6.5m) missed a golden opportunity to score in GW32, firing his only attempt straight at Kasper Schmeichel (£5.1m) from inside the six-yard box. Ryan Fraser (£6.1m) had supplied the cross for Wilson’s gilt-edged chance. The striker has now missed 16 big chances this season, ranking third behind Gabriel Jesus (17) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (19). Since returning from injury three gameweeks ago, Wilson has one goal and one assist – both coming as part of an 11-point outing away to Huddersfield in GW30. He spurned a big chance in that clash and another at home to Newcastle in GW31, when the forward failed to post attacking returns.
Fraser also bagged a double-figure haul (13) in GW30 but that represents his only score greater than three since GW22. Bournemouth’s first-choice penalty taker Josh King (£6.5m) has three goals in the past six gameweeks. The Norweigan lasted for 73 minutes last weekend after returning from international duty ‘fatigued’. David Brooks (£5.1m) has started all four games since his return from injury in GW29 but has no attacking returns in that period.
Burnley kept a first clean sheet since GW23 at home to a weakened Wolves XI last Saturday. Between GW24 and BGW31, they conceded 16 goals. In the last four gameweeks, Sean Dyche’s side have allowed their opponents 50 shots (29 inside the box). The majority of those came in the 4-2 defeat away to Liverpool in GW30. The Clarets’ visit to the Vitality stadium certainly promotes investment in the Bournemouth attack this weekend as they aim to compete with double-fixture assets in GW35.
Arsenal travel to Everton on Sunday and go to Watford in GW34, with two legs of a Europa League quarter-final against Napoli to contend with before and after that Hornets clash. The Gunners then take on Crystal Palace (H) and Wolves (a) in DGW35 before ties against Leicester (a), Brighton (H) and Burnley (a).
With such a hectic schedule, it will be tough for FPL bosses to land on the Arsenal attacker who plays the biggest percentage of minutes between now and the end of the season. On rotation, Unai Emery said last week: “We are in our process but our process is giving us, all the time, better combinations with the players and better combinations tactically. We are playing different systems with different players.”
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.8m) missed out on Arsenal’s starting XI against Newcastle due to having a temperature. The Gabon striker’s minutes have been patchy since a slight injury in GW26, with just two starts – which both yielded goals – in the following five games. He also began every match between GW10 and GW25. Alexandre Lacazette (£9.3m) has started eight of Arsenal’s last nine fixtures, scoring seven times and providing three assists. He grabbed the Gunners’ second against the Magpies on Monday from an Auba assist, having earlier seen an excellent attempt headed off the line by Matt Ritchie.
I mean that is just a phenomenal hit by Lacazette on the turn. Pretty decent clearance by Ritchie as well.— James Benge (@jamesbenge) April 1, 2019
Laca has the edge over his strike partner in terms of form, value and recent starts, though Emery’s teamsheet for the first Napoli clash could be the deciding factor for those wildcarding ahead of GW34. Arsenal’s midfield, on the other hand, is a complete minefield in terms of FPL selection. At £6.8m, Henrikh Mkhitaryan is worth monitoring. The Armenian started four consecutive league ties from GW26 on his return from injury, with two double-figure hauls over that period. Aaron Ramsey (£7.1m) has two goals in the club’s last three fixtures but is a BGW33 injury doubt after coming off in the 66th minute on Monday night.
In defence, Sead Kolasinac (£5.0m) is the standout fantasy option. The defender has three assists in eight fixtures since GW24 and was denied a fourth by Ritchie’s goal-line clearance at the Emirates. Kola did drop out of Emery’s XI for the trip to Tottenham in GW29 but has started every other match since Gameweek 18. Stationed at left-wing back when the Arsenal manager deploys a three-man backline, the Bosnian should be worth buying for his attacking potential alone. The Gunners have also kept three clean sheets – all at home – over their last six games.
While the visit of Liverpool tomorrow is uninspiring, budget assets from Southampton will be popular enablers for DGW35 fixtures away to Newcastle and Watford. The Saints welcome Wolves in GW34, while taking on Bournemouth (H), West Ham (a) and Huddersfield (H) to GW38.
In defence, Jan Bednarek (£4.0m) has played every minute for the south-coast side since Gameweek 16. Yan Valery (£4.1m) has started each of the club’s last five, scoring in GW29 and GW30 from a right wing-back position. Hasenhuttl then switched to a back four for last weekend’s 1-0 win away to Brighton as Jannik Vestergaard (£4.6m) missed out through injury, though the defender returned to training this week. As mentioned the Austrian’s team are conceding a decent amount of shots but have two clean sheets in their last six outings, with the other shut-out recorded at home to Fulham.
🗣️ Hasenhuttl: "The flexibility of our game is rising. We surprised [Brighton] a little bit because we come in a 4-2-2-2 and I must say I like this shape. It is an option to stay in a 4-2-2-2 but it is also an option to switch back to a 5-3-2."#FFScout #FPL #GW33 #BGW33— Fantasy Football Scout (@FFScout) April 4, 2019
James Ward-Prowse (£5.1m) has scored three times in that six-game period, twice from free-kicks. The England midfielder has been an ever-present for Hasenhuttl since GW20, with all of his six goals this season scored following the new manager’s arrival. For those stretching the wildcard budget thin, Southampton captain Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg (£4.4m) is nailed on and scored the winner at Brighton after netting in a Denmark friendly over the international break. Danny Ings (£5.4m), who is ineligible to face parent club Liverpool tomorrow, played 66 minutes against the Seagulls on his return from injury. With several other budget forward options, the Southampton loanee may struggle to contend given his very recent return from the sidelines and prior injury record.
Ralph Hasenhuttl has completely turned it around at Southampton. Since his first home game in charge, their results put them among the top six and they rank higher than that for most running and pressing metrics. Piece on the job he has done so far. https://t.co/jiA8GViKPx— Adam Bate (@ghostgoal) April 3, 2019
Chelsea welcome West Ham to Stamford Bridge on Monday, with Eden Hazard (£10.9m) a top BGW33 target following a 14-point haul at home to Brighton last night. But long-term interest in the Belgian and his fellow Blues is lacking, with a trip to Liverpool in GW34 followed by just a single fixture – at home to Burnley – in DGW35. Maurizio Sarri’s team then play Man Utd (a), Watford (H) and Leicester (a) to finish the season.
Wake up Sarri. Other attackers thrive when playing with Giroud. Look at France. https://t.co/9DumeAql5U— Lucy Highnett (@lucyhighnett) April 4, 2019
Next week’s fixture analysis will go into greater detail on the clubs without a match this gameweek, but our GW34 wildcard drafts have included all of the below players at one stage or another. For those performing that overhaul on their squads this week, it will be essential to strike balance between those playing and blanking in GW33.
From GW34: Huddersfield (H), Man City (a)/Brighton (H), West Ham (H), Bournemouth (a), Everton (H)
Potential transfer targets: Kieran Tripper (£6.0m), Heung-min Son (£8.6m), Lucas Moura (£6.7m), Christian Eriksen (£9.2m), Harry Kane (£12.5m)
Eriksen and Son scrapping for a place in my gwk 34 wildcard side— FFScout Joe (@FFScout_Joe) April 3, 2019
From GW34: Crystal Palace (a), Spurs (H)/Man Utd (a), Burnley (a), Leicester (H), Brighton (a)
Potential transfer targets: Ederson (£5.6m), Aymeric Laporte (£6.0m), Kevin De Bruyne (£9.7m) Bernardo Silva (£7.6m), Raheem Sterling (£11.6m), Sergio Aguero (£11.9m) [currently yellow flagged]
From GW34: Southampton (a), Brighton (H)/Arsenal (H), Watford (a), Fulham (H), Liverpool (a)
Potential transfer targets: Jonny (£4.3m), Willy Boly (£4.7m) Matt Doherty (£5.4m), Leander Dendoncker (£4.3m), Diogo Jota (£6.1m), Raul Jimenez (£6.8m)
48% - Raúl Jiménez has been directly involved in 48% of Wolves' 40 Premier League goals this season (19 - 12 goals, 7 assists), the highest ratio of any player for a club in the competition in 2018-19. Permanent. pic.twitter.com/JIlwlzPhWH— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) April 4, 2019
From GW34: West Ham (H), Everton (a)/Man City (H), Chelsea (H), Huddersfield (a), Cardiff (H)
Potential transfer targets: Anthony Martial (£7.2m), Marcus Rashford (£7.6m) [currently yellow flagged]
From GW34: Arsenal (H), Huddersfield (a)/Southampton (H), Wolves (H), Chelsea (a), West Ham (H)
Potential transfer targets: Ben Foster (£4.6m), Kiko Femenia (£4.2m), Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.9m), Gerard Deulofeu (£5.7m), Troy Deeney (£5.9m)
Watford playing excellent tonight.— FPL TV (@FPLTV) April 2, 2019
I really must remember to load up on their players for double gameweek 35 so they can all blank and disappoint.
From GW34: Bournemouth (H)/Cardiff (H), Wolves (a)/Spurs (a), Newcastle (H), Arsenal (a), Man City (H)
Potential transfer targets: Mat Ryan (£4.4m), Lewis Dunk (£4.4m), Shane Duffy (£4.7m), Anthony Knockaert (£5.2m), Glenn Murray (£6.3m)
Well yes and no. It is part of my thinking but I don't really like Brighton's fixtures in GW35-38 and don't want to overload my teams who will be a problem for the run-in. Teams like Wolves, Watford and Saints actually appeal more.— Heskibo (@FPLHeskibo) April 3, 2019
From GW34: Burnley (a)/Brighton (a), Liverpool (H), Fulham (a), Crystal Palace (H), Man Utd (a)
Potential transfer targets: Neil Etheridge (£4.7m), Lee Peltier (£3.9m), Victor Camarasa (£4.5m)
⚽️ Victor Camarasa is now Cardiff’s top PL scorer this season - 3 of his 5 goals have been in home games against Arsenal, Man Utd and Chelsea pic.twitter.com/qD6EY9edkw— Sky Sports Statto (@SkySportsStatto) March 31, 2019