The Most Consistent/Inconsistent Football Teams in Europe

We have analysed the last three season’s football results for the top six European leagues to see which teams are the most consistent in terms of points won.

Average Points Over The Last Three Seasons
Firstly, here are the average points accumulated by each team in their respective domestic leagues over the last three seasons – this table only includes teams who played in their top division in each of the last three seasons.

Of course, these results are all relative to the leagues in which the teams belong, but it is still interesting to see just how dominant Bayern Munich and Juventus have been in the Bundesliga and Serie A respectively over the last few years.

The Premier League has been the most competitive league, with no one team dominating.

At the other end of the table, Sunderland are the lowest ranked team to avoid relegation, with Reims (from French Ligue 1) being the team with the highest points average to still be relegated.

Points Difference Between 2014/15 and 2015/16
If we take a look at just the last two seasons and the difference between the points earned, it is no surprise to see Leicester City at the top of the table with the biggest increase in points, having gone from relegation survivors to champions in the space of a season.

Other big swings to note are Borussia Dortmund, who boast a huge improvement from their disappointing 2014/15 season, and Chelsea. with the biggest drop in points out of all teams - having gone from champions in 2014/15 to mid-table mediocrity in 2015/16.

Special mention for Everton who were perfectly consistent, finishing in 11th with 47 points in both seasons.

Consistency Over The Last Three Seasons
If we extend our look at consistency to include the difference in points for the last three seasons, we get a feel for which teams really are the most consistently good, bad or average. Again, this table only includes teams who played in the top flight of their domestic league in all three of the last three seasons. Teams with the smallest ‘Consistency Coefficient’ are the most consistent. Sunderland and Fiorentina have been the most consistent teams, albeit at different ends of their respective leagues, with Sunderland perpetual relegation contenders and Fiorentina consistently Europa League qualifiers.

Towards the bottom of the table, the inconsistencies are caused either due to one bad season (Chelsea, Dortmund, PSV), one good season (Valencia, Everton, Liverpool), steady improvement (Sassuolo, West Ham) or steady decline (Twente, Hellas Verona).

Data in this article includes all domestic league matches and UEFA Champions League matches for teams from the English Premier League, French Ligue 1, Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga, Spanish Primera league and the Dutch Eredivisie for the 2013/14, 2014/15 and 2015/16 seasons. The Difference Coefficient in the team consistency table was calculated using the formula: (ABS(s2-s1) + ABS(s2-s3) + ABS(s1-s3))/2 [where sN is the average points for season N]